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Market Signals Weekly Update Posted on 05-22-2023

Market Signals Weekly Report

The following are comments and discussion items from the weekly conference call of the Market Signals Team.

Discussion Items:

  • US grain futures dropped from May highs on favorable US weather and lower demand for US exports.
  • On Monday, Grain prices rallied led by July corn and July soybeans due to early concerns about US weather.
  • SN3 dropped from $14.00 to $13.04 following a bearish USDA report but rallied to $13.44 on short covering.
  • CN3 dropped from $5.92 to $5.47 after USDA report then rallied to $5.75 on firm US domestic basis.
  • WN3 dropped from $6.60 to $5.96 only to rally to $6.13 on global weather worries.
  • KWN3 dropped from $8.98 to $8.07 on demand worries but bounced to $8.30 on new weather worries.
  • Managed funds are estimated to be net short 130,000 Chicago wheat, 144,000 corn and 27,000 soyoil.
  • Managed funds are estimated to be net long 21,000 soybeans and 49,000 soymeal.
  • Last year this week Managed funds were net long 722,000 total grain and soycomplex futures.

Performance Charts

Now you can review the price and performance history of the Market Signals group back to 2011.
Click Unsold pieces to reveal Recommendations, when applicable.

All price recommendations below are futures price references (not cash equivalents).


2022-crop

(July 2023 Futures)
05-22-2023 Board Settle Price: $5.7100

2023-crop

(December 2023 Futures)
05-22-2023 Board Settle Price: $5.0900

2023-crop

(November 2023 Futures)
05-22-2023 Board Settle Price: $11.9700

Chicago Wheat 2023-crop

(July 2023 Futures)
05-22-2023 Board Settle Price: $6.0625

Chicago Wheat 2024-crop

(July 2024 Futures)
05-22-2023 Board Settle Price: $6.6150

KC Wheat 2023-crop

(July 2023 Futures)
05-22-2023 Board Settle Price: $8.2575

KC Wheat 2024-crop

(July 2024 Futures)
05-22-2023 Board Settle Price: $7.5225

MPLS Wheat 2022-crop

(July 2023 Futures)
05-22-2023 Board Settle Price: $8.0950

MPLS Wheat 2023-crop

(December 2023 Futures)
05-22-2023 Board Settle Price: $8.1625

ADM is providing this communication for informational purposes, and it is not a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell commodities. The sources for the information in this communication are believed to be reliable, but ADM does not warrant the accuracy of the information. The information in this communication is subject to change without notice. If applicable, any information and/or recommendations in this communication do not take into account any particular individual's or company's objectives or needs, which should be considered before engaging in any commodity transactions based on these recommendations. ADM or its affiliates may hold or take positions for their own accounts that are different from the positions recommended in this communication.